Stick With Your Reads #2

There are few sights more appealing at the table than a huge donkey with a big stack and an exploitable tell. In Hand 1 we develop the read and Hand 2 brings the excitement.

Hand 1: 50NL

Relevant Stacks:
Seat 1 - KUNGPAOGOGO ($170.91 in chips)
Seat 2 - SIMPLESTYLE ($108.90 in chips)

Seat #1 is the dealer

SIMPLESTYLE - Posts small blind $0.25
KINAKSAKA - Posts big blind $0.50

*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to SIMPLESTYLE [ ]
BAGABEAN - Folds
IPC96 - Folds
GARYTHETARD - Folds
KUNGPAOGOGO - Calls $0.50
SIMPLESTYLE - Calls $0.25 -- usually a raise but I was just mixing it up here, especially with donkey on the button
KINAKSAKA - Checks

Flop:
[ ]
SIMPLESTYLE - Checks -- he's overbet the last few pots so I'm hoping he does it here too
KINAKSAKA - Checks
KUNGPAOGOGO - Bets $10 -- bingo
SIMPLESTYLE - Calls $10
KINAKSAKA - Folds

Turn:
[ ] [ ]
SIMPLESTYLE - Checks -- definitely should have bet here
KUNGPAOGOGO - Checks

River:
[ ] [ ]
SIMPLESTYLE - Bets $7.50 -- let's at least make some money
KUNGPAOGOGO - Calls $7.50

Showdown:
SIMPLESTYLE - Shows [ ] (Flush, king high)
KUNGPAOGOGO - Mucks
SIMPLESTYLE Collects $34.20 from main pot

So the read is that victim likes to overbet with garbage. Here we go:

Hand 2: 50NL

Relevant Stacks:
Seat 1 - KUNGPAOGOGO ($147.96 in chips)
Seat 2 - SIMPLESTYLE ($125.55 in chips)

Seat #5 is the dealer
GARYTHETARD - Posts small blind $0.25
KUNGPAOGOGO - Posts big blind $0.50
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to SIMPLESTYLE [ ]
SIMPLESTYLE - Raises $2 to $2
BAGABEAN - Folds
IPC96 - Folds
GARYTHETARD - Folds
KUNGPAOGOGO - Calls $1.50

Flop:
[ ]
KUNGPAOGOGO - Bets $19
SIMPLESTYLE - Calls $19

Turn:
[ ] [ ]
KUNGPAOGOGO - Bets $9
SIMPLESTYLE - Calls $9

River:
[ ] [ ]
KUNGPAOGOGO - Bets $50
SIMPLESTYLE - Calls $50

Showdown:
KUNGPAOGOGO - Shows [ ] (Three of a kind, fives)
SIMPLESTYLE - Mucks
KUNGPAOGOGO Collects $156.75 from main pot

Whoa, what the hell happened? I fucked up huge, that's what. I didn't stick with my read! I let the donkey catch his card and then I paid him off like the POW (pay off wizard) I am. Ugh! This put me on life tilt and I went after this guy with everything I had, determined to get my stack back! I chipped away at this guy for about an hour and then this monster happened:

Hand 3: 50NL

Relevant Stacks
Seat 1 - KUNGPAOGOGO ($246.13 in chips)
Seat 2 - SIMPLESTYLE ($117.05 in chips)

Seat #4 is the dealer
CHEEKYSLUG - Posts small blind $0.25
GARYTHETARD - Posts big blind $0.50
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to SIMPLESTYLE [ ]
KUNGPAOGOGO - Raises $15 to $15
SIMPLESTYLE - Calls $15
THEWAREHOUSE - Folds
LONGFACE3232 - Folds
CHEEKYSLUG - Folds
GARYTHETARD - Folds

Flop:
[ ]
KUNGPAOGOGO - Bets $50
SIMPLESTYLE - All-In(Raise) $102.05 to $102.05 -- not slowplaying my stuff this time!
KUNGPAOGOGO - Calls $52.05

Turn:
[ ] [ ]

River:
[ ] [ ]

Showdown:
KUNGPAOGOGO - Shows [ ] (Two Pair, tens and nines)
SIMPLESTYLE - Shows [ ] (Two Pair, queens and tens)
SIMPLESTYLE Collects $231.35 from main pot

What's the lesson here? Stick to your reads! And don't be a pussy about them, especially not in big pots.